Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Gijon, clay - 1/16-finalsDate: 8 September 2026, Tuesday
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Juan Ignacio Gallego |
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Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 20.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Juan Ignacio Gallego 48.2% | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 51.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Ignacio Gallego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Ignacio Gallego's performance.Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Ignacio Gallego than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento than the current prediction. (+4.4%)Juan Ignacio Gallego - Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Gallego is ranked ATP: 1493. Alvarez Sarmiento is ranked ATP: 1556.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Gallego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Alvarez Sarmiento could have a small edge in this match. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;