Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Chak Lam Coleman Wong

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
			Watch
	2.35	1.62
	2.10	1.70	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.9)	1.69 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
43.9%

Chak Lam Coleman Wong
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Manuel Cerundolo's form might have worsened.

Chak Lam Coleman Wong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chak Lam Coleman Wong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chak Lam Coleman Wong than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chak Lam Coleman Wong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Chak Lam Coleman Wong Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Wong will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wong: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Wong (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 83. Wong is ranked ATP: 168.

Cerundolo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wong has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Gstaad
20.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Casper Ruud - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWWW
- Chak Lam Coleman Wong
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
12.07.25	Facundo Bagnis - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Matteo Gigante - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

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