Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - Final

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	4.02	1.28
	3.67	1.29	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.37	1.33	Watch
	2.93	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.93)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
27.7%

Alexander Bublik
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Bublik will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Bublik (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bublik (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 109. Bublik is ranked ATP: 34.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Cerundolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bublik is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 67.51%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Gstaad
19.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Casper Ruud - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Mariano Navone - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Gstaad
19.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jaume Munar - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Francisco Comesana	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWL?

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