Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Lodde R. (Ita)


	Andrea Pellegrino		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.2	1.58	Watch
	2.26	1.62
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.16	1.66	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.18)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
43%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pellegrino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
29.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Andrea Pellegrino	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLW?
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
29.04.24	Federico Salomone - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Dennis Novak - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Stefano Travaglia	Cerundolo J. M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2

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