Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.31
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.39	2.86	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)	2.32 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
59.5%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Manuel Cerundolo's performance.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Varillas will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 151. Varillas Patino-Samudio is ranked ATP: 187.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
12.10.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
11.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
18.10.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
17.10.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
09.10.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
04.10.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.10.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2
14.05.21	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Cerundolo J. M. retired
ATP Cordoba
21.02.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2

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