Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria (Argentina), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.54	2.33
	1.6	2.37
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.76)	2.35 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
60.1%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Manuel Cerundolo's performance.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Manuel Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Meligeni will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 154. Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is ranked ATP: 165.

Cerundolo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Hady Habib - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Andrea Collarini - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Canceled ✺
27.08.24	Raphael Collignon - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2

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