Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.41	Watch
	2.94	1.45
	2.74	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.63)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
33.2%

Nicolas Jarry
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Jarry will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 139. Jarry is ranked ATP: 40.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jarry will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.25	Jaime Faria - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Sumit Nagal - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Nagal S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLW?
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Jannik Sinner - Nicolas Jarry	3:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.25	Nicolas Jarry - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
31.12.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
29.12.24	Mariano Navone - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	0:2
ATP Challenger
31.10.21	Nicolas Jarry - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0

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