Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Costa do Sauipe, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Roman Andres Burruchaga		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.29	1.55	Watch
	1.59	2.24	Watch
			Watch
	2.24	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.6)	1.74 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga
45.3%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Andres Burruchaga's performance.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Manuel Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Andres Burruchaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 128. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 86.

Burruchaga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cerundolo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cerundolo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burruchaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Andres Burruchaga - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.36%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Zdenek Kolar	Canceled ✺
18.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WW?LW
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Gustavo Heide - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Sebastian Gima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
23.09.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2

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