Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.42	2.80
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.78	Watch
	1.43	2.90
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.45	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)	2.85 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66.7%

Nicolas Mejia
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Manuel Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Mejia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 55., and Mejia is ranked ATP: 119..

In recent outings, Cerundolo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mejia has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cerundolo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Cerundolo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.09%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Nicolas Mejia - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.91%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Beijing
30.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
26.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Gea	2:3 ✺
01.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Casper Ruud	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWL?
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Shanghai
06.10.26	Michael Zheng - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Nicolas Mejia	Tseng C. H. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Nicolas Mejia	Mejia N. Retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Nicolas Mejia	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 W???L

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