Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Juan Manuel La Serna		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.23	1.39
	2.97	1.34	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.99	1.34	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel La Serna
30.6%

Lautaro Midon
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Juan Manuel La Serna - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

La Serna is ranked ATP: 360. Midon is ranked ATP: 226.

In recent matches, La Serna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Midon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Midon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Midon is the team to beat.

We predict that Midon will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Serna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Nicolas Zanellato - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
07.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Renzo Olivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLW
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Dante Pagani - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1
20.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2
ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Lautaro Midon - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0

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