Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Como 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Jay Clarke

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.68	2.10
	1.81	2.11
	1.85	1.87	Watch
	1.80	2.03
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.76	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.64)	2 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
53.1%

Jay Clarke
46.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jay Clarke, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Jay Clarke Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Clarke will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varillas is ranked ATP: 234. Clarke is ranked ATP: 242.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
04.09.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Seyboth Wild T. Retired ✺
02.09.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Luka Pavlovic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.08.26	Mili Poljicak - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 ?WWLL
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
04.09.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Jay Clarke - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Francesco Forti - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Jay Clarke - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Jay Clarke - Clement Chidekh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Jay Clarke

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Jay Clarke Predictions

Preview

Form

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