Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Zdenek Kolar		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	1.68	2.03	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.43)	1.94 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zdenek Kolar
51.8%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zdenek Kolar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zdenek Kolar's form might have worsened.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zdenek Kolar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Zdenek Kolar - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kolar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Varillas will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varillas: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Varillas (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Varillas (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Varillas (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kolar is ranked ATP: 231. Varillas is ranked ATP: 326.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Varillas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kolar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kolar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Zdenek Kolar	Canceled ✺
08.10.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Marco Trungelliti	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 L?LW?
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Percy Buffara	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.08.21	Zdenek Kolar - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2
31.05.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Zdenek Kolar	2:0

Zdenek Kolar - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide