Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guayaquil 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Federico Agustin Gomez		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.85	1.83	Watch
	1.86	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2)	1.86 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Agustin Gomez
49.9%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
50.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Agustin Gomez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Federico Agustin Gomez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gomez is ranked ATP: 269. Varillas is ranked ATP: 327.

Gomez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Varillas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gomez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Varillas will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gomez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Andres Andrade - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Tomas Martinez - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Hady Habib - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2
22.03.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0

Federico Agustin Gomez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio