Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 3 (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Wang X. (Chn)


	Jules Marie		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.72	2.05	Watch
	1.77	2.09
	1.78	2.09
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.93	1.81	Watch
	1.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.41)	2.03 ↓ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jules Marie
53.7%

Fajing Sun
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jules Marie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jules Marie's form might have worsened.

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fajing Sun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jules Marie than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jules Marie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fajing Sun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jules Marie - Fajing Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Marie will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sun will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Sun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marie will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jules Marie
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Alex Bolt - Jules Marie	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Arthur Fery - Jules Marie	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.24	Jules Marie - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Jules Marie - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Jules Marie - Alec Beckley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW
- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Arthur Fery - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Fajing Sun - Altug Celikbilek	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Hiroki Moriya - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Fajing Sun - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Egor Gerasimov - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLW

Jules Marie - Fajing Sun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide