Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bogota (Colombia), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Julia Riera		Tatjana Maria

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.17
	1.74	2.17
	1.73	2.1
	1.7	2.17	Watch
	1.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.12)	2.1 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julia Riera
54.7%

Tatjana Maria
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julia Riera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Julia Riera's performance.

Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tatjana Maria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Riera than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Julia Riera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tatjana Maria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

Julia Riera - Tatjana Maria Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Riera will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Maria will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riera: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Riera is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Maria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julia Riera
WTA Bogota
02.04.24	Emiliana Arango - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.24	Francesca Jones - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Julia Riera - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Anca Alexia Todoni - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
26.03.24	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW
- Tatjana Maria
WTA Bogota
02.04.24	Anna Bondar - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.03.24	Tatjana Maria - Anna Bondar	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.24	Tatjana Maria - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.24	Tatjana Maria - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Tatjana Maria - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLW

Julia Riera - Tatjana Maria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide