Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Nantes, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Julie Belgraver		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.92	1.77	Watch
	2.32	1.6
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2	1.7
	1.98	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julie Belgraver
45.5%

Federica Urgesi
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julie Belgraver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julie Belgraver than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Julie Belgraver, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federica Urgesi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Julie Belgraver - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Belgraver is ranked WTA: 233. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 418.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Urgesi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Belgraver won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Julie Belgraver - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julie Belgraver
ITF Tournaments
24.03.26	Mona Barthel - Julie Belgraver	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Jeline Vandromme - Julie Belgraver	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Kristina Novak - Julie Belgraver	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Caijsa Wilda Hennemann - Julie Belgraver	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Celine Naef - Julie Belgraver	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLL
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
12.03.26	Federica Urgesi - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Anastasia Efremova - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Federica Urgesi - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Federica Urgesi - Arianna Zucchini	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Mika Stojsavljevic - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.07.24	Federica Urgesi - Julie Belgraver	2:1

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