Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHICAGO (USA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday


	Juncheng Shang		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.67	2.15
	1.76	2.15
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2.05	Watch
	1.7	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.79)	2.09 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
55.2%

Alex Michelsen
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Juncheng Shang - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shang won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Challenger
14.07.23	Ethan Quinn - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
13.07.23	Illya Marchenko - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
11.07.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Juncheng Shang	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.06.23	Jason Kubler - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WW?LL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
14.07.23	Kei Nishikori - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
13.07.23	Alex Michelsen - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Li Tu - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
26.06.23	Alex Michelsen - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
25.06.23	Lloyd Harris - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.10.22	Juncheng Shang - Alex Michelsen	1:2

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