Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WIMBLEDON (UNITED KINGDOM) - QUALIFICATION, GRASS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 26 June 2023, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Matteo Arnaldi		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.48
	2.5	1.5
	2.59	1.5
	2.61	1.51
	2.62	1.44
	2.59	1.47	Watch
	2.55	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.27)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
36.6%

Juncheng Shang
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juncheng Shang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Matteo Arnaldi - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shang will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaldi in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shang is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shang will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Shang to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
11.06.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
07.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ?WWWW
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Challenger
22.06.23	Jason Kubler - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
21.06.23	Juncheng Shang - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
20.06.23	Emilio Gomez - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Juncheng Shang - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
17.06.23	Juncheng Shang - Stuart Parker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW

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