Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday


	Juncheng Shang		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.83	1.95
	1.74	1.94
	1.83	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.79	1.98	Watch
	1.76	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.67)	1.96 ↓ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
52.3%

Valentin Vacherot
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	0%	27.8%

Juncheng Shang - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Shang will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Vacherot will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Shang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Challenger
10.10.22	Juncheng Shang - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
04.10.22	Juncheng Shang - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
15.09.22	Juncheng Shang - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
13.09.22	Henry Patten - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
28.08.22	Gabriel Diallo - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Valentin Vacherot - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
05.10.22	Ernesto Escobedo - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
03.10.22	Evan Zhu - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
27.09.22	Facundo Mena - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
17.09.22	Benjamin Hassan - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW

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