Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group - Qualification

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.8
	2.06	1.8
	2.90	1.39	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.9	1.78	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.8)	1.74 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
45.3%

Jurij Rodionov
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jurij Rodionov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rodionov will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rodionov (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 108. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 170.

Mochizuki is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rodionov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mochizuki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Shintaro Mochizuki - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.53%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Jurij Rodionov - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Stefano Travaglia - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
09.01.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP United Cup
03.01.26	Billy Harris - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
02.01.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
19.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	2:1
ATP Challenger
18.02.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	1:2
03.01.25	Jurij Rodionov - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2

Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide