Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Irvine, CA, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Kaitlyn Carnicella		Monika Ekstrand

	1	2
	2.60	1.42
	2.60	1.44
	2.81	1.45
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.63	1.4
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.6)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaitlyn Carnicella
35%

Monika Ekstrand
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaitlyn Carnicella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Monika Ekstrand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaitlyn Carnicella than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monika Ekstrand than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Kaitlyn Carnicella - Monika Ekstrand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carnicella is ranked WTA: 1228. Ekstrand is ranked WTA: 568.

Carnicella is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ekstrand is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ekstrand might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Ekstrand will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carnicella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaitlyn Carnicella
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Veronica Miroshnichenko - Kaitlyn Carnicella	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Maria Aytoyan - Kaitlyn Carnicella	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Kaitlyn Carnicella - Salma Ewing	Ewing S. Retired ✺
13.06.26	Kaitlyn Carnicella - Monika Ekstrand	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Lily Taylor - Kaitlyn Carnicella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WW?WW
- Monika Ekstrand
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Theadora Rabman - Monika Ekstrand	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Bianca Molnar - Monika Ekstrand	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Tia Messerli - Monika Ekstrand	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Kaitlyn Carnicella - Monika Ekstrand	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Maria Aytoyan - Monika Ekstrand	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.06.26	Kaitlyn Carnicella - Monika Ekstrand	2:1

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