Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Karen Khachanov		Alexander Blockx

	1	2
	1.53	2.50	Watch
	1.55	2.45
	1.62	2.33
	1.56	2.60
	1.56	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.45
	1.61	2.35	Watch
	1.50	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.1)	2.46 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
61.2%

Alexander Blockx
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karen Khachanov's performance.

Alexander Blockx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Blockx might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karen Khachanov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Blockx could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	0%	47.8%

Karen Khachanov - Alexander Blockx Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Blockx will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 3 - 50%). Blockx (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 45.5 Games - over (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 Sets - over (2.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Khachanov (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Blockx (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 50. Blockx is ranked ATP: 34.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Blockx - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.83%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP US Open
07.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Learner Tien	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWL
- Alexander Blockx
ATP US Open
07.09.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Blockx	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	3:1 ✺
03.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Marco Trungelliti	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL

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