Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Karen Khachanov		Learner Tien

	1	2
	2.50	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.48	1.55
	2.62	1.58
	2.57	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.54
	2.35	1.61	Watch
	2.40	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.41)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
38.4%

Learner Tien
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Karen Khachanov - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Tien will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 50. Tien is ranked ATP: 15.

Khachanov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tien is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tien could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Tien will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.3%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Learner Tien - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.7%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Karen Khachanov - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLL
- Learner Tien
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
03.09.26	Gael Monfils - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Nuno Borges - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Learner Tien - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW

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