Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Karen Khachanov		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.60
	1.47	2.65
	1.49	2.88
	1.47	2.77	Watch
	1.47	2.80
	1.47	2.77	Watch
	1.45	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)	2.74 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
65.1%

Benjamin Bonzi
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Khachanov (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 4 - 80%). Bonzi (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

#ad

Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 50. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 97.

In recent matches, Khachanov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bonzi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Khachanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Khachanov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Karen Khachanov - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Ignacio Buse	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Alex Molcan - Benjamin Bonzi	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
28.08.26	Ignacio Buse - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Rinky Hijikata - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
27.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	Canceled
ATP Australian Open
19.01.22	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	3:0
ATP Lyon
18.05.21	Benjamin Bonzi - Karen Khachanov	1:2

Upcoming Matches