Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Karen Khachanov		Arthur Fery

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.40	2.90
	1.40	2.95	Watch
	1.43	2.82	Watch
	1.43	2.90
	1.42	2.96	Watch
	1.43	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
67.4%

Arthur Fery
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Karen Khachanov - Arthur Fery Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Fery will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fery (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Fery (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fery (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 27., and Fery is ranked ATP: 37..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Khachanov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Khachanov is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 67.92%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Beijing
04.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Alex Molcan - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
11.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	3:0 ✺
09.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Blockx	Blockx A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWL?
- Arthur Fery
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Arthur Fery - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Jaime Faria - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Arthur Fery	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
20.09.26	Arthur Fery - Andres Andrade	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Arthur Fery - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WL??W

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