Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 18 January 2023, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Karen Khachanov		Jason Kubler

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.26	3.75
	1.27	3.7
	1.29	3.6
	1.29	3.93
	1.3	3.5
	1.25	3.95	Watch
	1.28	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.35)	3.7 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
74.3%

Jason Kubler
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Jason Kubler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	0%	36%

Karen Khachanov - Jason Kubler Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Kubler will win (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Recent matches Khachanov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kubler is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Khachanov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Khachanov is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Australian Open
15.01.23	Karen Khachanov - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide 2
11.01.23	Jack Draper - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
10.01.23	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Adelaide
05.01.23	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
03.01.23	Jack Draper - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Jason Kubler
ATP Australian Open
15.01.23	Sebastian Baez - Jason Kubler	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide 2
11.01.23	Jason Kubler - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
10.01.23	Jason Kubler - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
ATP United Cup
03.01.23	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jason Kubler	Canceled ✺
03.01.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Jason Kubler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLW?W

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