Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport LIve 4


	Jack Draper		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.61	2.27	Watch
	1.69	2.29
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.26	Watch
	1.61	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)	2.27 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
58.1%

Karen Khachanov
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	0%	73.9%

Jack Draper - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Khachanov will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 56% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draper is ranked ATP: 18. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 24.

Draper is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Khachanov in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Khachanov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Draper will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Draper won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Vienna
26.10.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Luciano Darderi - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Kei Nishikori - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
29.09.24	Ugo Humbert - Jack Draper	Draper J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWW?
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Vienna
26.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Matteo Berrettini - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
20.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Gabriel Diallo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide 2
11.01.23	Jack Draper - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Adelaide
03.01.23	Jack Draper - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP US Open
02.09.22	Karen Khachanov - Jack Draper	Draper J. retired

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