Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 43, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Karim Bennani		Luca Wiedenmann

	1	2
	1.7	2.11
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.69	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.91)	2.02 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karim Bennani
54.2%

Luca Wiedenmann
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karim Bennani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karim Bennani's performance.

Luca Wiedenmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Wiedenmann might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karim Bennani than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karim Bennani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Wiedenmann than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Wiedenmann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karim Bennani - Luca Wiedenmann Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bennani is ranked ATP: 871. Wiedenmann is ranked ATP: 1039.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Wiedenmann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Wiedenmann will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karim Bennani
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Karim Bennani - Julien Penzlin	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Karim Bennani - Matei Todoran	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Karim Bennani	Bittoun C. walkover ✺
15.10.25	Karim Bennani - Kerem Yilmaz	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Seydina Andre - Karim Bennani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WW?WW
- Luca Wiedenmann
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Luca Wiedenmann - Noel Larwig	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Luca Wiedenmann - Charles Bertimon	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Mika Petkovic - Luca Wiedenmann	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Luca Wiedenmann - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Luca Wiedenmann - Noel Larwig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

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