Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Karl Poling		Karlis Ozolins

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.97	1.75	Watch
	2	1.79
	1.89	1.81	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	1.78	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2)	1.78 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karl Poling
47.7%

Karlis Ozolins
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karl Poling has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Karlis Ozolins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlis Ozolins than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Karl Poling - Karlis Ozolins Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Poling will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ozolins will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Poling (votes: 2 - 50%). Ozolins (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poling is ranked ATP: 562. Ozolins is ranked ATP: 960.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Poling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Joshua Sheehy - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Karl Poling - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Karl Poling - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Karl Poling - Keenan Mayo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.01.26	Karl Poling - William Grant	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWL
- Karlis Ozolins
Davis Cup World Group II
07.02.26	Nick Hardt - Karlis Ozolins	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Roberto Cid Subervi - Karlis Ozolins	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.02.26	Karlis Ozolins - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Tom Gentzsch - Karlis Ozolins	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Karlis Ozolins - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 ?LLWW

Karl Poling - Karlis Ozolins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide