Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Alexandre Reco		Patrick Zahraj

	1	2
			Watch
	2.50	1.45
	2.88	1.36	Watch
	2.92	1.35	Watch
	2.50	1.51
	2.62	1.43	Watch
	2.60	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.44)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Reco
34.7%

Patrick Zahraj
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Reco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Patrick Zahraj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Reco than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Zahraj than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Alexandre Reco - Patrick Zahraj Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Reco is ranked ATP: 963., and Zahraj is ranked ATP: 514..

Reco has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Zahraj has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Zahraj may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Zahraj is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Patrick Zahraj - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.24%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Reco
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Justin Boulais - Alexandre Reco	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.09.26	Aidan McHugh - Alexandre Reco	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Alexandre Reco - Etienne Donnet	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Damien Clerc - Alexandre Reco	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Melvin Kumar - Alexandre Reco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW
- Patrick Zahraj
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Murphy Cassone - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Patrick Zahraj - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Patrick Zahraj - Maxime Janvier	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Patrick Zahraj - Joshua Sheehy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLW

Alexandre Reco - Patrick Zahraj: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide