Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Karolina Muchova		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.48	2.94
	1.42	2.88	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	2.88 ↑ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Muchova
67%

Elise Mertens
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Karolina Muchova - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Mertens will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muchova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muchova is ranked WTA: 12. Mertens is ranked WTA: 20.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Muchova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Muchova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Muchova
WTA Stuttgart
14.04.26	Karolina Muchova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
26.03.26	Cori Gauff - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Victoria Mboko - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Karolina Muchova - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Karolina Muchova - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW
- Elise Mertens
WTA Stuttgart
14.04.26	Elise Mertens - Ella Seidel	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Elise Mertens - Iva Jovic	Canceled ✺
10.04.26	Elise Mertens - McCartney Kessler	Kessler M. Retired ✺
WTA Miami
21.03.26	Sorana Cirstea - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Elvina Kalieva - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 W??LW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
15.02.21	Elise Mertens - Karolina Muchova	0:2
WTA Ostrava
22.10.20	Karolina Muchova - Elise Mertens	0:2

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