Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Sorana Cirstea		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.9
	2.02	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.87
	1.99	1.78	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.03	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.87)	1.82 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorana Cirstea
47.5%

Elise Mertens
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorana Cirstea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Sorana Cirstea - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: Sorana Cirstea will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sorana Cirstea will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cirstea is ranked WTA: 35. Mertens is ranked WTA: 19.

Cirstea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mertens has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cirstea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cirstea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Elise Mertens - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorana Cirstea
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Linda Noskova - Sorana Cirstea	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Shuai Zhang - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.26	Sorana Cirstea - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Diana Shnaider - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Sorana Cirstea - Tatjana Maria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW
- Elise Mertens
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Elvina Kalieva - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.26	Elise Mertens - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.26	Cori Gauff - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cleveland
22.08.22	Elise Mertens - Sorana Cirstea	Canceled
WTA Istanbul
25.04.21	Elise Mertens - Sorana Cirstea	0:2
WTA Doha
14.02.18	Elise Mertens - Sorana Cirstea	0:2

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