Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Karolina Muchova		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	1.25	4.00	Watch
	1.25	3.80
	1.28	3.70	Watch
	1.26	3.89	Watch
	1.26	4.10
	1.28	3.82	Watch
	1.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.29)	3.89 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Muchova
75.5%

Ludmilla Samsonova
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Karolina Muchova - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Samsonova will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Muchova (votes: 1 - 50%). Samsonova (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muchova is ranked WTA: 8., and Samsonova is ranked WTA: 39..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Samsonova could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Muchova carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Muchova has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Muchova
WTA Beijing
02.10.26	Karolina Muchova - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
27.09.26	Anhelina Kalinina - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
04.09.26	Emma Navarro - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Katie Boulter - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Beijing
01.10.26	Linda Fruhvirtova - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
18.09.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Kayla Day - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
11.02.19	Ludmilla Samsonova - Karolina Muchova	1:2
WTA Australian Open
09.01.19	Ludmilla Samsonova - Karolina Muchova	0:2

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