Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1, Stan Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Peyton Stearns

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.62	2.25
	1.65	2.29	Watch
	1.64	2.3
	1.63	2.33	Watch
	1.61	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	2.28 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
58.3%

Peyton Stearns
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Peyton Stearns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peyton Stearns than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Peyton Stearns Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Stearns will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Samsonova (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 50., and Stearns is ranked WTA: 60..

Samsonova is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Stearns have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Ludmilla Samsonova - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Peyton Stearns - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.1%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Guadalajara
17.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Kayla Day - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.26	Maya Joint - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.08.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Taylah Preston	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWL?
- Peyton Stearns
WTA Guadalajara
17.09.26	Peyton Stearns - Sloane Stephens	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Diane Parry - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Peyton Stearns - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.26	Harriet Dart - Peyton Stearns	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.26	Peyton Stearns - Clara Tauson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL

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