Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday


	Karolina Pliskova		Ashlyn Krueger

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.66	2.34
	1.67	2.2
	1.63	2.29	Watch
	1.63	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.55)	2.28 ↓ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Pliskova
58.2%

Ashlyn Krueger
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ashlyn Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Pliskova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashlyn Krueger than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ashlyn Krueger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.3%	0%	38.7%

Karolina Pliskova - Ashlyn Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Pliskova will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). Krueger will win (votes: 12 - 38.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pliskova: 44.2% – 78.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pliskova is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Krueger is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krueger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pliskova will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Pliskova
WTA Dubai
19.02.24	Karolina Pliskova - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
16.02.24	Iga Swiatek - Karolina Pliskova	Swiatek I. walkover ✺
15.02.24	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Pliskova	0:2 ✺
14.02.24	Karolina Pliskova - Linda Noskova	2:1 ✺
13.02.24	Anastasia Potapova - Karolina Pliskova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 W?WWW
- Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Dubai
18.02.24	Ashlyn Krueger - Caroline Garcia	2:1 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.24	Ashlyn Krueger - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Yue Yuan - Ashlyn Krueger	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Ipek Oz - Ashlyn Krueger	0:2 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
07.02.24	Darya Kasatkina - Ashlyn Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

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