Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Karue Sell		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.61	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.31
			Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)	2.17 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karue Sell
56.9%

Yuta Shimizu
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karue Sell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karue Sell than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Karue Sell - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: Karue Sell will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karue Sell will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sell is ranked ATP: 289. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 218.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karue Sell
ATP Challenger
02.07.25	Karue Sell - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Karue Sell	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.06.25	Karue Sell - Trevor Svajda	1:2 ✺
27.06.25	Karue Sell - Dominique Rolland	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Karue Sell - Rudy Quan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Yuta Shimizu - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.06.25	Yi Zhou - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Alvin Nicholas Tudorica - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
29.05.25	Andres Martin - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Nicolas Mejia - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW

Karue Sell - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide