Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tyler, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Yi Zhou		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.65
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	2.21	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.44)	1.62 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Zhou
42.3%

Yuta Shimizu
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yi Zhou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Yi Zhou - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zhou will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhou (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Shimizu (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhou (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Shimizu (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhou is ranked ATP: 367. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 191.

Zhou has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Shimizu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zhou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shimizu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zhou won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Yi Zhou - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.23%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Yi Zhou - Trey Hilderbrand	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Rio Noguchi - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Yi Zhou - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Yi Zhou - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Alvin Nicholas Tudorica - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
29.05.25	Andres Martin - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Nicolas Mejia - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Yuta Shimizu - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Titouan Droguet - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.08.24	Yuta Shimizu - Yi Zhou	2:0

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