Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Yuta Shimizu		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	2.35	1.55
			Watch
	2.1	1.76
			Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.19	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.67)	1.64 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
42.4%

Vilius Gaubas
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yuta Shimizu's performance.

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilius Gaubas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuta Shimizu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Yuta Shimizu - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Gaubas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Shimizu is ranked ATP: 220. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 132.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gaubas could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
04.06.25	Yi Zhou - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Alvin Nicholas Tudorica - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
29.05.25	Andres Martin - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Nicolas Mejia - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Yuta Shimizu - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Vilius Gaubas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Tristan Boyer - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Vilius Gaubas - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Vilius Gaubas - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches