Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - Final

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Kasidit Samrej		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
			Watch
	3.30	1.28
	3.4	1.28
	3.8	1.3
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.65	1.27
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.16)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasidit Samrej
26.9%

Ilia Simakin
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasidit Samrej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Kasidit Samrej - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Samrej is ranked ATP: 486. Simakin is ranked ATP: 275.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Simakin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Simakin is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samrej won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasidit Samrej
ATP Challenger
05.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Enzo Aguiard	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWL
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
04.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Lucas Poullain - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.08.24	Ilia Simakin - Kasidit Samrej	2:0

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