Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Zhangjiagang 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ilia Simakin		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.78	2.1
	1.87	1.82	Watch
	1.74	2.05
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.71	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	2 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
53.4%

Ilya Ivashka
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilia Simakin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilya Ivashka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ilia Simakin - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ivashka will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 275. Ivashka is ranked ATP: 393.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilia Simakin - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.77%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
02.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Lucas Poullain - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
02.09.26	Akira Santillan - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Ilya Ivashka - Harold Mayot	Ivashka I. Walkover ✺
04.08.26	Ergi Kirkin - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWL?W

Ilia Simakin - Ilya Ivashka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide