Match Info

Date: 25 September 2020, Friday


	Katerina Siniakova		Aryna Sabalenka

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.32	1.54
	2.51	1.6
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	1.52	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.44)	1.86 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katerina Siniakova
46.5%

Aryna Sabalenka
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katerina Siniakova's performance.

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aryna Sabalenka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katerina Siniakova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aryna Sabalenka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27%	0%	73%

Katerina Siniakova - Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 10 - 27%). Sabalenka will win (votes: 27 - 73%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 58.7% – 87.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Siniakova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Siniakova will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Strasbourg
23.09.20	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
21.09.20	Katerina Siniakova - Bernarda Pera	2:1 ✺
WTA Roma
17.09.20	Darya Kasatkina - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
15.09.20	Katerina Siniakova - Angelique Kerber	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
01.09.20	Katerina Siniakova - Kaia Kanepi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWL
- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Strasbourg
23.09.20	Anna Blinkova - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2 ✺
21.09.20	Ellen Perez - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
03.09.20	Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Azarenka	0:2 ✺
01.09.20	Aryna Sabalenka - Oceane Dodin	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
25.08.20	Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

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