Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Katerina Siniakova		Madison Keys

	1	2
	4.00	1.25	Watch
	3.90	1.24
	3.85	1.26	Watch
	4.30	1.27
	3.88	1.26	Watch
	3.85	1.25
	4.01	1.26	Watch
	3.85	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.43)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katerina Siniakova
24.1%

Madison Keys
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katerina Siniakova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Katerina Siniakova - Madison Keys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 44. Keys is ranked WTA: 24.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Siniakova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Keys is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Siniakova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.26	Katerina Siniakova - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Maria Timofeeva - Katerina Siniakova	Canceled ✺
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Kamilla Rakhimova - Katerina Siniakova	Siniakova K. Retired ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.26	Katerina Siniakova - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Katerina Siniakova - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 W??LW
- Madison Keys
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.26	Daria Snigur - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
06.08.26	Marta Kostyuk - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Antonia Ruzic - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Washington
27.07.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.26	Madison Keys - Linda Noskova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
26.08.24	Madison Keys - Katerina Siniakova	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
03.06.19	Katerina Siniakova - Madison Keys	0:2

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