Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Katerina Siniakova		Sofia Kenin

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.51	2.65
	1.46	2.74	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.46	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)	2.73 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katerina Siniakova
65.1%

Sofia Kenin
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Katerina Siniakova - Sofia Kenin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Kenin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siniakova: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kenin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games, 1st Set - Kenin (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kenin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 44. Kenin is ranked WTA: 45.

Siniakova has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kenin is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Siniakova is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siniakova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Dubai
16.02.26	Katerina Siniakova - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Katerina Siniakova - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
21.01.26	Katerina Siniakova - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Panna Udvardy - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLW
- Sofia Kenin
WTA Dubai
16.02.26	Sofia Kenin - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
09.02.26	Qinwen Zheng - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
01.02.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Sofia Kenin - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
12.01.26	Maya Joint - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.11.18	Katerina Siniakova - Sofia Kenin	2:1

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