Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guangzhou 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Keegan Smith		Max Purcell

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.55	1.45
	2.74	1.4	Watch
	3.3	1.32
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.65)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
33.8%

Max Purcell
66.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Max Purcell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Keegan Smith - Max Purcell Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Purcell will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Smith (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 196., and Purcell is ranked ATP: 636..

In recent outings, Smith has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Purcell is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Smith could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Purcell is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Purcell in today's match, at odds of 1.39.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.84%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Martin Landaluce - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Keegan Smith - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
13.10.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Keegan Smith - Yuquan Jin	Canceled ✺
05.10.26	Keegan Smith - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWW?L
- Max Purcell
ATP Challenger
19.10.26	Max Purcell - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
18.10.26	Yuta Shimizu - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Max Purcell - Filip Peliwo	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Max Purcell - Blake Bayldon	Purcell M. win ✺
04.10.26	Max Purcell - Julien De Cuyper	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWL?W

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Keegan Smith	✺

Keegan Smith - Max Purcell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide