Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Keegan Smith		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.32	1.54
	2.35	1.52	Watch
	2.25	1.52
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.32	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.51)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
40.1%

Vit Kopriva
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Keegan Smith - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 202., and Kopriva is ranked ATP: 68..

Smith has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kopriva has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Smith may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Kopriva is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.62%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Keegan Smith	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Keegan Smith - Yuquan Jin	Canceled ✺
05.10.26	Keegan Smith - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Mitchell Krueger - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Bryce Nakashima - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 T?LLW
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Pavel Kotov - Vit Kopriva	Kotov P. Retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Vit Kopriva - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Alex Molcan - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
25.09.26	Vit Kopriva - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Vit Kopriva - Jia Hu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?LLLW

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