Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Mitchell Krueger		Keegan Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.72
	2.08	1.72	Watch
	2.03	1.71	Watch
	2.08	1.76
	2.03	1.68	Watch
	2.03	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.96)	1.72 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitchell Krueger
45.7%

Keegan Smith
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mitchell Krueger - Keegan Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Krueger will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Smith will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Krueger is ranked ATP: 381., and Smith is ranked ATP: 199..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Krueger could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Krueger has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Stefan Kozlov - Mitchell Krueger	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Tyler Zink - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Mitchell Krueger - Sebastian Gorzny	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Michael Zheng - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Ryan Seggerman - Mitchell Krueger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Bryce Nakashima - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Kaylan Bigun - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Keegan Smith - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Keegan Smith - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Mitchell Krueger - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Mitchell Krueger - Keegan Smith	2:1
12.09.22	Keegan Smith - Mitchell Krueger	2:0

Mitchell Krueger - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide