Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Bryce Nakashima		Keegan Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.03	1.72	Watch
	2.19	1.65
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.84)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bryce Nakashima
43.1%

Keegan Smith
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bryce Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bryce Nakashima's form might have worsened.

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Smith's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bryce Nakashima than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bryce Nakashima - Keegan Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 599., and Smith is ranked ATP: 199..

Nakashima has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Smith have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bryce Nakashima
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Bryce Nakashima - Jack Kennedy	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Darwin Blanch - Bryce Nakashima	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Timo Legout - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Bryce Nakashima - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWW
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Kaylan Bigun - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Keegan Smith - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Keegan Smith - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Mitchell Krueger - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Keegan Smith - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Bryce Nakashima - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide