Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 CALOUNDRA 2 (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 1 August 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: CALOUNDRA 2 (AUSTRALIA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Keisuke Saitoh		Edward Winter

	1	2
	2.95	1.33
	3.09	1.34
	3	1.36
	3.48	1.26	Watch
	3.1	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.36)	1.32 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keisuke Saitoh
29.7%

Edward Winter
70.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keisuke Saitoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keisuke Saitoh's form might have worsened.

Edward Winter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edward Winter's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keisuke Saitoh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edward Winter than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edward Winter, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Saitoh is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Winter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Winter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Winter is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
26.07.23	Isaac Becroft - Keisuke Saitoh	2:1 ✺
24.07.23	Matthew Burton - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2
19.06.23	Keisuke Saitoh - Yeongseok Jeong	0:2 ✺
14.06.23	Keisuke Saitoh - Dominik Palan	0:2 ✺
06.06.23	Keisuke Saitoh - Dong Ju Kim	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL
- Edward Winter
ITF Tournaments
27.07.23	Edward Winter - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
27.07.23	Edward Winter - Brandon Walkin	2:1 ✺
25.07.23	Edward Winter - Jacob Bradshaw	2:0 ✺
20.07.23	Edward Winter - Alexander Bernard	0:2 ✺
19.07.23	Edward Winter - Samir Banerjee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW

Keisuke Saitoh - Edward Winter

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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