Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Keisuke Saitoh		Dominik Palan

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.75
	1.41	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.74	Watch
	1.33	3.30
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.25	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.84)	2.97 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Keisuke Saitoh
68.5%

Dominik Palan
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keisuke Saitoh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keisuke Saitoh's performance.

Dominik Palan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominik Palan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keisuke Saitoh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominik Palan than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominik Palan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Keisuke Saitoh - Dominik Palan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Saitoh is ranked ATP: 550., and Palan is ranked ATP: 631..

Saitoh has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Palan is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Palan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Saitoh has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Keisuke Saitoh - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Dominik Palan - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keisuke Saitoh
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Yusuke Takahashi	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Zicong Wang	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.26	Jerry Roddick - Keisuke Saitoh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW
- Dominik Palan
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Terence Atmane - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.09.26	Dominik Palan - Kuan-Shou Chen	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Dominik Palan - Martin Borisiouk	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Hiroki Moriya - Dominik Palan	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dominik Palan - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.06.23	Keisuke Saitoh - Dominik Palan	0:2

Upcoming Matches