Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Kilian Feldbausch		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35
			Watch
	1.64	2.31
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.72	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)	2.25 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kilian Feldbausch
58.3%

Lorenzo Carboni
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kilian Feldbausch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilian Feldbausch than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kilian Feldbausch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kilian Feldbausch - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Feldbausch is ranked ATP: 398. Carboni is ranked ATP: 564.

In recent matches, Feldbausch has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carboni is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carboni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kilian Feldbausch
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Augusto Virgili	Canceled
26.08.25	Raul Brancaccio - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Remy Bertola	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Gabriele Bosio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LLWW
- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Lorenzo Carboni	Canceled ✺
27.08.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.08.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 ?LWWW

Kilian Feldbausch - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide